Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Riverside
Big West
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#234
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#238
Pace69.1#193
Improvement-0.8#213

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#254
First Shot-2.7#259
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#227
Layup/Dunks-1.3#241
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#231
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#144
Freethrows-1.0#251
Improvement+1.9#93

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#197
First Shot-1.9#228
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#86
Layups/Dunks-0.6#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#203
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#155
Freethrows-1.4#266
Improvement-2.6#304
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 19, 2015 232   Santa Clara W 77-63 61%     1 - 0 +6.8 +7.4 +0.7
  Nov 21, 2015 202   @ San Francisco L 57-58 33%     1 - 1 -0.7 -13.8 +13.0
  Nov 24, 2015 349   Delaware St. W 81-55 92%     2 - 1 +6.2 -0.2 +5.9
  Nov 27, 2015 277   @ Rice L 81-87 51%     2 - 2 -10.6 -2.5 -7.8
  Nov 29, 2015 330   @ Lamar W 74-69 69%     3 - 2 -4.6 -7.3 +2.5
  Dec 03, 2015 310   Northern Colorado W 77-66 79%     4 - 2 -1.9 -8.5 +6.2
  Dec 06, 2015 208   @ Loyola Marymount L 76-77 34%     4 - 3 -1.2 -2.0 +0.9
  Dec 12, 2015 115   UNLV L 62-73 32%     4 - 4 -10.5 -15.5 +6.3
  Dec 15, 2015 284   @ Houston Baptist L 59-72 53%     4 - 5 -18.0 -25.0 +8.5
  Dec 18, 2015 316   @ Abilene Christian W 60-56 63%     5 - 5 -3.9 -22.1 +17.8
  Dec 22, 2015 191   Denver W 63-54 52%     6 - 5 +4.2 -1.2 +7.1
  Dec 28, 2015 305   @ Morgan St. W 81-72 58%     7 - 5 +2.5 +3.8 -1.7
  Dec 30, 2015 137   @ Ohio L 59-81 19%     7 - 6 -17.2 -17.0 +0.6
  Jan 02, 2016 110   Cal St. Bakersfield L 48-67 30%     7 - 7 -18.0 -18.1 -1.0
  Jan 07, 2016 268   Cal St. Fullerton L 73-79 69%     7 - 8 0 - 1 -15.4 -5.5 -9.9
  Jan 09, 2016 98   @ UC Irvine L 68-84 12%     7 - 9 0 - 2 -7.5 +0.8 -8.2
  Jan 14, 2016 68   Hawaii L 71-80 18%     7 - 10 0 - 3 -3.8 +1.2 -4.9
  Jan 16, 2016 238   @ Cal St. Northridge W 75-72 40%     8 - 10 1 - 3 +1.3 -3.5 +4.5
  Jan 21, 2016 235   @ UC Davis L 55-58 39%     8 - 11 1 - 4 -4.6 -8.2 +3.3
  Jan 23, 2016 108   Long Beach St. W 74-72 29%     9 - 11 2 - 4 +3.4 +10.5 -6.9
  Jan 28, 2016 204   @ Cal Poly W 72-68 33%     10 - 11 3 - 4 +4.1 +1.3 +3.1
  Jan 30, 2016 268   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 81-71 47%     11 - 11 4 - 4 +6.4 +6.5 +0.0
  Feb 03, 2016 238   Cal St. Northridge L 71-73 62%     11 - 12 4 - 5 -9.5 +6.7 -16.6
  Feb 06, 2016 235   UC Davis L 49-50 62%     11 - 13 4 - 6 -8.4 -18.0 +9.5
  Feb 13, 2016 204   Cal Poly L 78-86 55%     11 - 14 4 - 7 -13.7 -2.2 -11.4
  Feb 18, 2016 104   UC Santa Barbara L 55-65 27%     11 - 15 4 - 8 -8.0 -11.2 +2.5
  Feb 25, 2016 68   @ Hawaii W 77-71 8%     12 - 15 5 - 8 +17.1 +11.0 +6.0
  Feb 27, 2016 108   @ Long Beach St. L 55-66 14%     12 - 16 5 - 9 -3.8 -13.5 +9.6
  Mar 03, 2016 104   @ UC Santa Barbara L 55-81 13%     12 - 17 5 - 10 -18.1 -9.5 -10.1
  Mar 05, 2016 98   UC Irvine L 66-76 25%     12 - 18 5 - 11 -7.3 -3.6 -3.7
  Mar 10, 2016 108   Long Beach St. L 74-82 21%     12 - 19 -3.7 -0.9 -2.3
Projected Record 12.0 - 19.0 5.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%